TY  - JOUR
AB  - Chronic absenteeism rose sharply following the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic and has declined only modestly since, yet most evidence remains cross-sectional and cannot distinguish persistence from redistribution in absence behavior. Using a cohort transition framework, the analysis compares students' typical absence profiles across pre-pandemic and post-pandemic periods. The results show substantial redistribution toward higher-absence profiles. Nearly 10% of students with historically very low absence transitioned into chronic or severe absence post-pandemic. Black and Hispanic students face higher probabilities of entering chronic and severe absence than White students, even when starting from comparable pre-pandemic absence profiles. These findings indicate that post-pandemic absenteeism reflects both persistence and redistribution, with implications for equitable prevention and re-engagement strategies.
AU  - Bloem, Michael D. 
AU  - Edwards, Ashley 
AU  - Goyer, J. Parker 
AU  - Howell, Jessica 
AU  - Hu, Xiaowen 
AU  - Hurwitz, Michael 
AU  - Imlay, Samuel J. 
AU  - Ma, Jennifer 
AU  - Pender, Matea 
PY  - 2026
ST  - College Enrollment Patterns After SFFA v. Harvard
TI  - College Enrollment Patterns After SFFA v. Harvard
UR  - http://www.edworkingpapers.com/ai26-1392
ER  -